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A crisis in Japan is quietly shaking the global stock market—and your portfolio might be more exposed than you think. In this video, I break down the Yen Carry Trade, why it’s starting to unravel now, and how a crisis in Japanese bonds can trigger pain in US tech stocks, global markets and even India’s Nifty.
We’ll start with a simple example of how hedge funds borrow in cheap yen, leverage 10x, and make insane returns—until one small move in the currency wipes out half their equity. Then we’ll connect that to what’s happening right now in Japan:
• Why Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields are spiking to levels not seen since 2008
• How fiscal dominance and Japan’s massive debt are scaring global investors
• Why yields are rising while the yen is weakening (the worst possible combo)
• How Japanese pension funds and insurers might bring money back home
• What this could mean for FPI flows into India and volatility in our markets
I’ll also walk you through:
• Rough estimates of how much yen-funded money may be parked in Indian assets
• Key triggers to watch: JGB 10-year at 2%, USD/JPY at 160, and the VaR shock loop
• What long-term Indian investors should actually do now (and what NOT to do)
If you invest in mutual funds, index funds, or US tech stocks—this is the kind of macro risk you can’t ignore.
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